Week 4 College Football Betting Picks
We are now entering week 4 of the college football season. While there are still a few teams that have cupcakes left to play, the majority of schools are finally beginning their conference schedule. We are officially 1/4th of the way through the regular season, but now it actually feels like football is back in the college ranks.
Now, onto the gambling picks. If you tailed my week 2 picks you would have made a hefty profit. I went 11-4 on the 15 games I picked. To put that into perspective, if you would have bet $100 on each game, you would have walked away with over a $600 profit! Now, let's attempt to not only replicate that week, but do even better!
Friday Night:
Wake Forest (+3) @ Virginia: Wake Forest is coming off the high of beating Florida State last weekend. I expect that momentum to carry over into another inferior opponent. Not only does Wake cover, they win as well.
UNLV @ 22 Fresno State (-30): Fresno State pulled off one of the largest upsets of the year last week, taking down 13th ranked UCLA. Not to mention they nearly pulled off the upset against Oregon in week 1. This is a large spread, but Fresno State gets it done.
Saturday:
12 Notre Dame @ 18 Wisconsin (-6): Notre Dame has been less than impressive this season. They barely held on to beat Florida State in week 1, and haven’t looked that great in their other 2 matchups. Their offense is lacking and unfortunately, Wisconsin has one of the best defenses in the country. The Badgers win a low scoring barnburner.
Texas Tech (+9) @ Texas: Texas is another team that had high expectations but hasn’t fulfilled them yet. While I do think Texas wins this game, I think Tech will find a way to back door cover this one.
LSU (-2.5) @ Mississippi State: This is going to be the battle for the worst team in the SEC West. LSU has looked really bad so far, and State hasn’t been any better. At this point I just trust Ed Ogreron more than I trust Mike Leach. Give me LSU in a close one.
2 Georgia (-35) @ Vanderbilt: If you are reading this, please say a quick prayer for the Commodores. This is a team that will be completely outmatched and I will be shocked if Vandy even scores a point. Georgia wins by 45+.
14 Iowa State (-7) @ Baylor: Iowa State has been disappointing this season. They were my pick to win the Big12, and while they are still on track, it doesn’t look promising. That being said, Baylor is not very good and if Iowa State can not cover this one, their troubles are bigger than we thought.
9 Clemson (-10) @ NC State: Let me preface this by saying it is weird seeing such a high number in front of Clemson’s name, but they have struggled ever since Trevor Lawerence left. Regardless, NC State is a bad, bad team. Similar to Iowa State, if the Tigers can not cover this spread they will have some major problems to address.
7 Texas A&M @ 16 Arkansas (+5): This is my favorite matchup of the weekend. The only thing that would make this game better is if it was being played on a college campus. This game is always played at JerryWorld, and in my opinion, that sucks. College atmospheres are what make college football games so great. Nevertheless, I LOVE Arkansas +5. So much so that I think they win outright and this will be my Lock/Upset of the week.
24 UCLA (-4.5) @ Stanford: As mentioned earlier, UCLA was upset by Fresno State last week. And Stanford has already beat USC this season. UCLA will be in for a dog fight, but I think Chip Kelly walks away with a win and a cover.
Tennessee (+19) @ 11 Florida: I am not expecting Tennessee to come out and light it up against the Gators. Hell Tennessee hasn’t won in Gainesville in 18 years. But I do think with Tennessee’s revamped offense they will be able to score some points. Florida's disappointing loss to Alabama last week might even give the Gators a bit of a hangover, Florida wins with ease, but fails to cover.
Kentucky (-5) @ South Carolina: The Gamecocks view this as a very winnable home game for them. Considering there will not be many opportunities for Carolina to win an SEC game at home this year their fans will be rowdy, primed, and ready to go. Kentucky, coming off a disappointing performance against Chattanooga will bounce back in a major way and win by 2 touchdowns.
Nebraska @ 20 Michigan State (-5): This is another game I really love. Nebraska is still Nebraska and I think they are getting a favorable line because of their name. The Spartans have been hot this season and their run game has been extremely impressive. Spartans cover easily.
West Virginia (+17) @ 4 Oklahoma: This is a huge game for the Mountaineers. With the Sooners making the move to the SEC soon, this might be their last chance to beat them for a long time. While I don’t think they win, I like WVU to keep it close and cover.
Arizona @ 3 Oregon (-28.5): At first glance this line might seem really high, but Arizona is an awful team and will have no shot against the Ducks. Oregon wins this by 40 points and improves their Playoff chances.